Background Information: You will play the role of an FBI Intelligence Analyst as

Background Information: You will play the role of an FBI Intelligence Analyst assigned to a headquarters unit, with a national-level portfolio.VNN and Sox News are reporting that a driver of a large Ryder Rental truck crashed through the police barricades during the opening of the Christkindl Market at downtown’s Skyline Park and plowed over the unsuspecting celebrants. Quick-acting police officers were able to stop the vehicle with a hail of bullets, but not before the driver had left a wake of carnage and destruction. City officials reported that nine people were pronounced dead at the scene and dozens injured. Witnesses stated that at approximately 8 pm, while hundreds of people were celebrating the start of the Christmas season and enjoying the numerous German artisans and the local church choir, the holiday festival was interrupted by the horrible sound of terrifying screams as the truck drove onto the sidewalk at a high rate of speed and started to run over people. It is estimated that the driver was able to drive the truck for approximately a quarter of a mile before the police were able to bring the vehicle to a halt.During an impromptu press conference, Denver Mayor Michelle Wong* advised that local, state, and federal officials are investigating this matter; she was reluctant to call this a terrorist attack. Denver Police Chief Robert White* praised the work of his officers and the emergency first responders in dealing with this crisis. He further stated that the driver of the truck, whose identity is unknown at this time, was taken to Rose Medical Center in serious condition. This is the same medical facility to which his victims were taken. The Islamic State claimed responsibility for the Christkindl Market attack, calling the driver a “soldier” in its fight against “crusader states” and the “infidels.” The FBI Denver Division, via its Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF), has responded, has taken the point on the terrorism investigation, and is presently coordinating with the Denver Police Department. The FBIHQ, Counterterrorism Division, International Terrorism Operations Section has opened a preliminary terrorism investigation. You have been assigned to assist in the investigation and to task and coordinate the exchange of all pertinent information within the Intelligence Community. You also will be requested to draft the appropriate intelligence communications and conduct the appropriate FBIHQ briefings.The FBI Detroit Field Office advised FBIHQ that it initiated a preliminary civil rights investigation after the Detroit Police Department advised of a series of acts of vandalism on the Islamic Center of Detroit, the Masjid As-Sunnah, and Baitul Islam mosques. The vandalism included the breaking of windows and spray painting of graffiti on the buildings. The graffiti included Nazi swastikas, and the numbers “14” and “88.” Other offensive statements, such as “terrorist go home”, were also spray-painted on the buildings. The Detroit Police Department further advised it has had issues in the past with an anti-immigrant, white supremacist group known as “The Pack”, which was suspected of committing similar crimes in the city. The Michigan Fusion Center advised that The Pack operates a white supremacist website; the group recently posted its condemnation of the truck attack in Denver and called for the white community to rise against the Islamic immigrants that are “ruining this nation”. The purported leader of The Pack is William “Billy” Payne. Payne has an extensive criminal record and is currently imprisoned in the United States Penitentiary, Marion, Illinois, where he is serving a 20-year sentence for the armed robbery of a Brinks armored truck. Payne is still considered to be the leader of The Pack, and his writings and comments are regularly published on its website. The Pack is calling for a major protest targeting the Islamic communities of Michigan. It is being reported that The Pack is petitioning the City of Ann Arbor for a parade permit for September 11.The Michigan Fusion Center further advised that the Mayor has denied The Pack’s petition for a parade permit. Attorneys for The Pack, with support from the local ACLU, are bringing suit in Federal District Court charging that the City of Ann Arbor – by denying The Pack’s petition – is in violation of the First Amendment of the U.S. Constitution by abridging the freedom of speech and the right to peaceably assemble. The Pack, in its complaint, cites U.S. Supreme Court case National Socialist Party of America v. Village of Skokie, 432 U.S. 43 (1977). The Pack has stepped up its hateful rhetoric aimed at the Muslim community in Detroit. The Detroit Police Department reported that three members of the Baitul Islam Mosque were attacked after evening services by three white males wearing white hoods and carrying baseball bats. The victims, who are currently at the St. John’s Hospital and Medical Center, reported that the attackers were calling the victims terrorists and told them if they did not go back to the Middle East, the attackers would keep coming back until they did. The Department of Justice, Civil Rights Division has authorized the civil rights investigations on the recent attack at the Baitul Islam Mosque and the previous acts of vandalism targeting the Islamic Center and mosques in Detroit. FBIHQ has opened a National Domestic Terrorism preliminary investigation against The Pack. The FBI Detroit Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF) has been assigned the lead for these acts of violence against the Detroit Islamic community.ISIS has released a video that condemns the recent attack at the Baitul Islam Mosque and calls for a jihad against all infidels in the United States and Israel. The video appeals to all Muslims living in the United States to use any weapons that they can find in order to join the jihad for an Islamic state, a Caliphate. The video also shows how to use automobiles and knives in suicide attacks in highly populated regions. The video pays homage to the recent truck attacks in Denver, New York, and Nice; and the knife attacks in London and Jerusalem.The Pack, on its website, is calling for a protest at the Baitul Islam Mosque in Detroit in four weeks – on April 20. This coincides with the Lollapalooza 4-day concert event being held at the Tiger Stadium in Detroit. The Southern Poverty Law Center is reporting that the protest is being promoted on the websites of the numerous white supremacist, neo-Nazi, skinhead, Christian Identity, anti-Muslim, and anti-immigrant groups. The New Jersey Department of Homeland Security issued an intelligence report that indicates that the Anti-Pack, a known affiliate of Antifa, is planning on counter-protest on April 20 in Detroit. MI-5 is reporting that known members of the London-based Hooligans are talking of traveling to the United States to attend the Lollapalooza event. Canadian Security Intelligence Service is also reporting that known participants of the violent anti-G20 summit, which led to 400 arrests in Toronto, also plan on travelling to Detroit during this timeframe. Assignment:The new information that keeps pouring in means that you will have to continually adjust your strategy. Some developments may require a significant departure from the strategy – or an important adjustment. Review the strategy that you created in Module 3. What needs to be adjusted? How does the new information fit into your original strategy? (This is a thought exercise that will help you as you move forward in the scenario; nothing needs to be submitted on this part.) Now that you have identified your gaps in your intelligence and appropriately tasked the appropriate agencies within the USIC to fill these gaps, your immediate supervisor has tasked you to draft a memorandum that analyzes the current situation in Michigan and gives recommendations based on prior similar incidents that can be incorporated into a future FBI Law Enforcement Intelligence Bulletin. Draft a 2-page draft intelligence memorandum that provides your analysis and recommendations regarding the planned protest, to be presented to your supervisor. I want you all to all utilize the attached BLUF format for this week’s assignment regarding providing an Intelligence Assessment and Recommendations of the PAC and Anti-PAC demonstrations. I know it is only a two-page assignment, but I would like you to incorporate the attached format from the USIC “How to Write an Intelligence Product in the Bottom-Line Up Front (BLUF) Format.” Also, I also believe it provides an excellent breakdown on how to produce an intelligence product.
In addition, I would like you to concentrate on the following 5-sections of the BLUF:
Key Judgments
Introduction
Background
Substantiation/Analysis
Outlook
Lastly, with regard to the actual assignment, ask the following questions:
Do you anticipate that this parade is going to proceed “peacefully” or is there a high probability of violence between the extreme groups?
What has happened in cities that underestimated the chance for violence erupting?
Based on your analysis of past “protests” that are similar, what recommendations would you make to those responsible for the safety of public?
Provide at least two different recommended courses of action and briefly lay out the pros and cons of each. Also, identify the correct stakeholders that need to receive a copy of this intelligence memorandum. BE ANAlYTICAL, THINK LIKE AN INTELLIGENCE ANAYLST, Look at the big picture, all the background information is important. If you need more information please ask
FOR BLUF Guide:
https://ou.edu/content/dam/cins/docs/BLUF-Writing-Guide.pdf

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